Hamilton Political Tidbits- October 31, 2014

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Hamilton Consulting Group Political Tidbits
Compiled by
The Hamilton Consulting Group
 October 31, 2014  



Happy Halloween! Madison is busy as organizers and visitors prepare for this weekend's infamous Freak Fest, but the State Capitol is quiet, as candidates will be using this weekend to make their final pitch to voters. This week's Tidbits has the final analysis you need before Election Day, complete with our take on the governor's, attorney general's, and state Senate and Assembly races.


Nothing stops just for Election Day though. In this week's Tidbitswe have the most recent news from the EPA on the clean power plants rules, the DNR released a water use report for Wisconsin, and the next set of election news has just begun - Justice Ann Walsh Bradley will have competition in next April's election. Read all of our coverage in this week's Tidbits.


Election results will be emailed directly to your inbox the morning of November 5 via Tidbits; or visit the homepage at Hamilton-Consulting.com.


If you wish to receive additional information about a topic addressed in Tidbits, please do not hesitate to contact a member of the Hamilton Consulting Team.

Final Poll Results: Walker Leads by 7

Tidbits was skeptical two weeks ago when the Marquette University Law School poll results showed Walker and Burke all tied up.


In the final poll before Tuesday's election the results seem to be more indicative of where insiders perceive the race to be heading: toward a Walker victory.


While we expect it to be closer than the poll's 7 point margin (50-43) amongst likely voters, the trend in all the polling we've seen seems to show Walker heading toward reelection.


Read more... 

State Senate and Assembly Election Predictions


There are just a handful of days until Election Day, and state Senate and Assembly campaigns have hit warp speed. Television and radio stations can't pump out political ads fast enough, and mailboxes and social media accounts are filling with campaign narratives. 


With half the senators and all the assembly representatives up for re-election there are 116 races to follow, but only a handful in each house are competitive.


Race for Attorney General

Photo Source: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel


The candidates for Attorney General held their last debate on Wednesday night, which was sponsored by WISC-TV, the State Bar of Wisconsin, and Wispolitics.com.


Jefferson County District Attorney Susan Happ is the Democratic candidate, and Waukesha District Attorney Brad Schimel is the Republican candidate. They are vying for the "top cop" position held by current Attorney General J.B. Van Hollen, who is not seeking reelection after serving for eight years.


A recent Marquette University Law School poll shows that Schimel has a slight lead, 43 percent to 39 among likely voters. Among registered voters, they are tied at 40 percent. Interestingly, both candidates are largely unknown. Sixteen percent in the poll indicated they were unsure for whom to vote. Sixty-eight percent responded that they haven't heard enough of or don't have an opinion of Happ, while 71 percent said the same of Schimel.



Election Day Resources


No need to look far to find next week's election results. On the morning of November 5, Hamilton Consulting will have state and national election results sent to your email inbox via Political Tidbits - Special Edition. You can also visit Hamilton Consulting's homepage to find the direct link to election results.


On November 7, a special Political Tidbits will be in your mailbox, giving you the analysis on what the election results will mean for the 2015-2016 Wisconsin legislative session.




Assembly Republicans Release 2015-2016 Legislative Agenda

The Wisconsin Assembly Republicans have released their agenda for the 2015-2016 legislative session. Without surprise, the agenda reiterates Assembly Republicans' commitment to lean government, low taxes, and a strong economy. The agenda also highlights education, child welfare, and public assistance policy.

EPA Provides Clarification on Clean Power Plants and Proposes Indian Country Rules

Stakeholders described potential challenges associated with achieving reductions required by as early as 2020, when the compliance period begins. Stakeholders generally proposed either the allowance of credit for early reductions, which provides flexibility to defer other emission reductions until later, or phasing in building block 2 over time similar to blocks 3 and 4. EPA is requesting comments on these two approaches.


2013 Wisconsin Water Use Withdrawl Summary


The Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources (WDNR) released its annual report on water withdrawals in Wisconsin. Wisconsin withdraws about 2.2 trillion gallons of water each year from ground and surface water sources. According the WDNR, that is enough water to fill Lambeau Field about 4,700 times. 




Study Committees to Meet

Two study committees Hamilton Consulting has been following throughout the summer are nearing the end of their term and they are holding some of their final meetings in November and December. The Study Committee on the Review of Tax Incremental Financing (TIF) and the Study Committee on the Transfer of Structured Settlement Payments will be meeting in the beginning of November.


Daley Announces Supreme Court Run

James Daley of Janesville and current Rock County Circuit Court Judge has announced he will run for the Wisconsin State Supreme Court, for what is incumbent Justice Ann Walsh Bradley's seat.


Daley was appointed circuit court judge by Governor Tommy Thompson in January of 1989 after serving three terms as Rock County District Attorney. He was re-elected three times to the bench and has been the presiding judge in Rock County since 1998. The Wisconsin Supreme Court appointed Daley Chief Judge of the 5th Judicial Circuit in August of 2013.



Top Five Cyber Scams

Ready Wisconsin, the state's national public service advertising campaign, has released the list of top five cyber scams of the past year, in recognition of Cyber Awareness month.
  1. Auto Sales Fraud
  2. Romance Scams
  3. FBI Scams
  4. Real Estate Fraud
  5. Intimidation/Extortion Scams


What Wisconsin Food Are You?


Hamilton Consulting: Your Government Relations Easy Button


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News Clips 


Candidates hit road as poll shows Walker with edge on Burke: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 30, 2014.

Wisconsin elections head predicts voter turnout at 57 percent: Wisconsin Radio Network, Oct. 30, 2014.

Burke, Walker backers give $1 million to GOP and Democratic Party: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 28, 2014.

Report: Nearly $1M discrepancy in Democrat Mary Burke's campaign finance report: WTAQ, Oct. 28, 2014.

On different paths, Walker and Ryan share part of journey: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 28, 2014.

Politics or principles? Burke to vote on schools budget: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 27, 2014.

Mary Burke fires up Madison canvassers 9 days before Nov. 4 election: Wisconsin State Journal, Oct. 27, 2014.

Democrats hope to retake state Senate: Appleton Post-Crescent, Oct. 27, 2014.

Walker says 'special interests' want him defeated: Channel3000, Oct. 27, 2014.

More than 146,000 ballots cast in Wisconsin election: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 27, 2014.

Law prohibiting outside campaign coordination for political ads on ice through Nov. 12: WTAQ, Oct. 23, 2014.

Wisconsin Assembly Republicans release goals for next legislative session: Cap Times, Oct. 22, 2014.

President Barack Obama to campaign Tuesday with Mary Burke in Milwaukee: Wisconsin State Journal, Oct. 22, 2014.

Clerks: Early voting resembles presidential race: Green Bay Press Gazette, Oct. 21, 2014.

6th Congressional District candidates talk taxes: Channel 3000, Oct. 21, 2014.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker's tough fight against Mary Burke will decide 2016 future: Washington Post, Oct. 21, 2014.

Assembly GOP unveils legislative priorities: Channel 3000, Oct. 21, 2014.

Walker: John Doe emails release is 'smokescreen': Appleton Post-Crescent, Oct. 21, 2014.

Paul Ryan squares off with challenger Rob Zerban again: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 20, 2014.

Bill Clinton to campaign with Mary Burke on Friday: WKOW, Oct. 20, 2014.

Economic Development and Finance

Scott Walker says September job growth is largest September increase in over a decade: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 29, 2014.

Fed ends 6-year effort to stimulate economy: Channel 3000, Oct. 29, 2014.

Kraft acquires Berkshire Hathaway marketing division: BizTimes, Oct. 29, 2014.

Crop harvest chugs along amid challenges: WisFarmer, Oct. 28, 2014.

Low-wage jobs grew fastest in Wisconsin since 2000, new study says: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 28, 2014.

Development picks up as region's industrial market gets even hotter: BizTimes, Oct. 27, 2014.

Wisconsin beef industry continues to thrive: Agri-view, Oct. 27, 2014.

Marine manufacturing remains vital in Wisconsin: Green Bay Press Gazette, Oct. 27, 2014.. 

Tom Still: State's economic development structure in place -- Question is how best to use it: Wisconsin State Journal, Oct. 25, 2014.

Consumers may like lower gas prices, but some manufacturers concerned: Milwaukee Business Journal, Oct. 23, 2014.

Milwaukee-area foreclosure rate below 1% for first time in years: Milwaukee Business Journal, Oct. 23, 2014.

Unemployment down across state: Green Bay Press Gazette, Oct. 22, 2014.

Manufacturers scramble to fill jobs, struggle to recruit women: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 19, 2014.

Utilities and Energy

Mild summer cools Wisconsin Energy 3Q profits: Milwaukee Business Journal, Oct. 29, 2014.

Milwaukee water plant to suspend ozone treatments up to 12 weeks: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 28, 2014.

Xcel has deals for three big Minnesota solar-energy farms: Minneapolis/St. Paul Business Journal, Oct. 27, 2014.

Xcel Energy sets hydro generation record in September: Eau Claire Leader-Telegram, Oct. 27, 2014.

Michigan protests proposed Wisconsin Energy acquisition: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 25, 2014.

Energy stocks fall as oil slips below $80: Madison.com, Oct. 27, 2014

Xcel Energy nuclear plant honored by IEDC with Industry of Year award: Monticello Times, Oct. 27, 2014.

Restructured rate mechanisms will help utilities better recoup costs: Sheboygan Press, Oct. 22, 2014

Wisconsin returns to top 20 in annual energy-efficiency report: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 22, 2014.

Natural Gas to Surpass Coal as PJM's Top Source Fuel in May: NGI Daily Gas Price Index, Oct. 22, 2014.

Rate change proposals could signal transition in electric industry: WisBusiness, Oct. 22, 2014.

At 3M, solar power becomes an employee benefit: Minneapolis Star Tribune, Oct. 22, 2014.

Oneida plant fight goes to state Supreme Court: Green Bay Gazette, Oct. 21, 2014.

Two States Battle Over Who Should Pay for U.P. Power Plant: WXPR, Oct. 21, 2014.

ACEEE: Massachusetts Tops California As Most Energy-efficient State, While Arkansas, D.C., Kentucky, And Wisconsin Are Most Improved: InvestorIdeas, Oct. 22, 2014.



USDA boosts bee habitat money for Minnesota: MPR News, Oct. 29 2014.

DNR Board Orders Review Of Petition Calling For In-Depth Frac Sand Mining Report: Wisconsin Public Radio, Oct. 29, 2014.

Deer population input sought from hunters: WEAU.com, Oct. 27, 2014.

Wisconsin DNR reports water usage fell 6% in 2013: WTAQ.com, Oct. 23, 2014.

Groups ask EPA to investigate pollution causes by cattle farms: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 22, 2014.

Asian carp DNA detected in Green Bay's Fox River: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 22, 2014.

Whitewater council urges Enbridge pipeline hearings: Whitewater Daily Union, Oct. 22, 2014.

Trempealeau County frac sand company fined $80,000 by Wisconsin Department of Justice: Cap Times, Oct. 21, 2014.

DOJ settles sand mine case: Channel 3000, Oct. 20, 2014.



American College of Physicians urges approval of referendums: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 29, 2014.

Grothman, Harris clash on health care: Sheboygan Press, Oct. 28, 2014.

Health officials weigh next step in wind turbine battle: Green Bay Press Gazette, Oct. 27, 2014.

Mercy Health System and Rockford Health System announce merger: MKOW, Oct. 27, 2014.

Drugmakers may need indemnity for fast-tracked Ebola vaccines: WTAQ, Oct. 23, 2014.

Research groups call for ban of antibiotic use in well livestock: WTAQ, Oct. 23, 2014.

UW students "Make Bo Pay" for cancer research: WKOW, Oct. 23, 2014.

ThedaCare to build $44M cancer center in Appleton: Appleton Post-Crescent, Oct. 22, 2014.

This curable disease killed 1.5 million: WISN, Oct. 22, 2014.

Brookfield health care software company Connecture plans IPO: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 21, 2014.

More efficient health care generates savings: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 20, 2014. 


Transportation and Construction

Amtrak reports record revenue, higher ridership in FY2014: Progressive Railroading, Oct. 28, 2014.

Airport renovation project underway: La Crosse Tribune, Oct. 28, 2014.

Cement Shortage Delaying Construction Projects in Wisconsin: WUWM, Oct. 28, 2014.

City Council meets Thursday to OK railroad expansion: WXOM, Oct. 28, 2014.

"There was failure on launch:" Unmanned "Anteres" rocket explodes upon takeoff: Fox6,

Oct. 28, 2014.

Milwaukee-area gas prices fall below $3; could go lower: Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Oct. 23, 2014.

Fuel costs ease, US airline profits soar: Madison.com, Oct. 23, 2014.

Construction firms struggling to find enough qualified workers: WKOW, Oct. 22, 2014.

Janesville Transit Service wants bus replacements: Janesville Gazette, Oct. 22, 2014.

Ashwaubenon's Jet Air expands, looks to grow: Green Bay Gazette, Oct. 22, 2014.


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