Presidential & U.S. Senate Races Tighten in Wisconsin

Both presidential candidates consider Wisconsin a swing state, and the U.S. Senate race is too close to call, so forget this summer’s pronouncement that Wisconsinites were weary of politics and deserve a break. Expect to see more candidate appearances and more advertising as the races reach a fever pitch.

U.S. Senate Race

Speculation that the September polls were inaccurate in showing a change from a Former Gov. Tommy Thompson lead to a U.S. Rep. Tammy Baldwin lead has been largely silenced by the October poll results. According to the most recent polls, Baldwin is in the lead; however, it is really too close to call as the spread is within the margin of error.

U.S. Senate Race Polling Data Summarized by Real Clear Politics 

Poll

Date

Sample

Baldwin (D)

Thompson (R)

Spread

9/27-10/9

48.3

45.3

Baldwin +3

10/4-10/9

1327 LV

48

46

Baldwin +2

10/4-10/6

979 LV

49

46

Baldwin +3

9/27-9/30

894 LV

48

44

Baldwin +4

Thompson and Baldwin must report their fundraising totals for the three-month period that ran through the end of September by Monday. Thompson, who was low on cash following the GOP primary has said he has raised over $2 million dollars in the past six weeks while Baldwin has not remarked on her fundraising totals.

Presidential Race

Recent polls also show a closer presidential contest in Wisconsin.

Polling Data from the Presidential Race in Wisconsin Summarized by Real Clear Politics

Poll

Date

Sample

MoE

Obama (D)

Romney (R)

Spread

10/4-10/9

50.0

47.7

Obama +2.3

10/9-10/9

500 LV

4.5

51

49

Obama +2

10/4-10/9

1327 LV

3.0

50

47

Obama +3

10/4-10/6

979 LV

3.1

49

47

Obama +2

9/27-9/30

894 LV

3.3

53

42

Obama +11