Both presidential candidates consider Wisconsin a swing state, and the U.S. Senate race is too close to call, so forget this summer’s pronouncement that Wisconsinites were weary of politics and deserve a break. Expect to see more candidate appearances and more advertising as the races reach a fever pitch.
U.S. Senate Race
Speculation that the September polls were inaccurate in showing a change from a Former Gov. Tommy Thompson lead to a U.S. Rep. Tammy Baldwin lead has been largely silenced by the October poll results. According to the most recent polls, Baldwin is in the lead; however, it is really too close to call as the spread is within the margin of error.
U.S. Senate Race Polling Data Summarized by Real Clear Politics
|
Poll
|
Date
|
Sample
|
Baldwin (D)
|
Thompson (R)
|
Spread
|
|
9/27-10/9
|
–
|
48.3
|
45.3
|
Baldwin +3
|
|
|
10/4-10/9
|
1327 LV
|
48
|
46
|
Baldwin +2
|
|
|
10/4-10/6
|
979 LV
|
49
|
46
|
Baldwin +3
|
|
|
9/27-9/30
|
894 LV
|
48
|
44
|
Baldwin +4
|
Thompson and Baldwin must report their fundraising totals for the three-month period that ran through the end of September by Monday. Thompson, who was low on cash following the GOP primary has said he has raised over $2 million dollars in the past six weeks while Baldwin has not remarked on her fundraising totals.
Presidential Race
Recent polls also show a closer presidential contest in Wisconsin.
Polling Data from the Presidential Race in Wisconsin Summarized by Real Clear Politics
|
Poll
|
Date
|
Sample
|
MoE
|
Obama (D)
|
Romney (R)
|
Spread
|
|
10/4-10/9
|
–
|
–
|
50.0
|
47.7
|
Obama +2.3
|
|
|
10/9-10/9
|
500 LV
|
4.5
|
51
|
49
|
Obama +2
|
|
|
10/4-10/9
|
1327 LV
|
3.0
|
50
|
47
|
Obama +3
|
|
|
10/4-10/6
|
979 LV
|
3.1
|
49
|
47
|
Obama +2
|
|
|
9/27-9/30
|
894 LV
|
3.3
|
53
|
42
|
Obama +11
|